Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Roma		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.75
	1.6	4.35	5.5
	1.59	4.3	5.66
	1.45	4.71	6.43	Watch
	1.6	4.39	6.13
	1.55	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	4.36 ↓ (4.71)	5.86 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
61.6%

Draw
22%

Midtjylland
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

22.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	8.3%	19.4%

Roma - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Midtjylland (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Midtjylland (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 87. Ghilardi D. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 19. Celik Z. 8. El Aynaoui N. 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 21. Dybala P.	16. Olafsson E. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 4. Diao O. 6. Erlic M. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 55. Bak V. 21. Castillo D. 19. Bravo P. 8. Billing P. 7. Franculino 41. Gogorza M.
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 24. Ziolkowski J.	20. Byskov V. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 80. Dani Silva 33. Djabi A. 90. Etim F. 74. Junior Brumado 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 11. Osorio D. 29. Paulinho 58. Simsir A. 60. Ugboh M. (G)
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, El Aynaoui N. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
27', Kone M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
46', Bravo P. ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
53', Cristante B. 🟨,
61', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
62', Soule M. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
62', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
67', Bak V. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
76', Franculino ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
78', Osorio D. 🟨,
79', Celik Z. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
79', Dybala P. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
80', Erlic M. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, El Shaarawy S. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
85', Bech Sorensen M. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
89', Mancini G. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Hermoso M. (Injury) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E. (Knee Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gabriel A. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bailey L. (Muscle Injury) Dybala P. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Midtjylland: Simsir A. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Roma	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
23.11.25	SønderjyskE - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Randers FC - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Midtjylland - Celtic	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
03.11.25	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.25	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW

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