Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cremonese		Roma

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7	Watch
	5.4	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.79	4.05	1.65
	5.45	3.95	1.63	Watch
	5.38	3.69	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 (5.45)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
17.6%

Draw
25.6%

Roma
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

24.1%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

23.2%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	15%	80%

Cremonese - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Roma (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (32 of 40 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.6% – 92.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 22. Floriani R. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 24. Ziolkowski J. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 35. Baldanzi T. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 18. Soule M.
Substitutes
23. Ceccherini F. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 3. Pezzella G. 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F.	66. Buba Aboubacar 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Nicola D.	Gritti T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
32', Payero M. 🟨,
45', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ziolkowski J. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
57', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
57', Floriani R. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
59', Baldanzi T. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
60', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
62', Gasperini G. 🟨,
62', Gasperini G. 🟥,
64', 0 - 2, Ferguson E. ⚽, El Aynaoui N. (A),
69', 0 - 3, Wesley Franca ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
70', Vandeputte J. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
80', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
80', Bianchetti M. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
80', Wesley Franca ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
82', Bondo W. 🟨,
84', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
85', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Folino F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Thigh Injury) Faye M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Thigh Injury) Zerbin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bailey L. (Muscle Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Dybala P. (Health problems) Hermoso M. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cremonese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Cremonese - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWTT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Roma	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.01.24	Roma - Cremonese	2:1
Italian Serie A
28.02.23	Cremonese - Roma	2:1
Coppa Italia
01.02.23	Roma - Cremonese	1:2
Italian Serie A
22.08.22	Roma - Cremonese	1:0

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