Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	16:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Cremonese		Roma

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7	Watch
	5.4	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.79	4.05	1.65
	5.45	3.95	1.63	Watch
	5.38	3.69	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 (5.45)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
17.6%

Draw
25.6%

Roma
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

24.1%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

22.8%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	15%	80%

Cremonese - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Roma (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (32 of 40 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.6% – 92.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 22. Floriani R. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 24. Ziolkowski J. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 35. Baldanzi T. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 18. Soule M.
Substitutes
23. Ceccherini F. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 3. Pezzella G. 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F.	66. Buba Aboubacar 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Nicola D.	Gritti T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
32', Payero M. 🟨,
45', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ziolkowski J. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
57', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
57', Floriani R. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
59', Baldanzi T. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
60', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
62', Gasperini G. 🟨,
62', Gasperini G. 🟥,
64', 0 - 2, Ferguson E. ⚽, El Aynaoui N. (A),
69', 0 - 3, Wesley Franca ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
70', Vandeputte J. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
80', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
80', Bianchetti M. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
80', Wesley Franca ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
82', Bondo W. 🟨,
84', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
85', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Folino F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Thigh Injury) Faye M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Thigh Injury) Zerbin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bailey L. (Muscle Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Dybala P. (Health problems) Hermoso M. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cremonese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Cremonese - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWTT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Roma	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.01.24	Roma - Cremonese	2:1
Italian Serie A
28.02.23	Cremonese - Roma	2:1
Coppa Italia
01.02.23	Roma - Cremonese	1:2
Italian Serie A
22.08.22	Roma - Cremonese	1:0

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