Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Roma		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	8.5	Watch
	1.46	4.3	7.9	Watch
	1.49	4.45	6.87
	1.49	4.28	6.87	Watch
	1.52	4.35	7.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)	4.26 ↓ (4.3)	7.62 ↑ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
64.7%

Draw
22.6%

Parma
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.3%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	6.2%	12.3%

Roma - Parma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Parma (5.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 84%). Parma (votes: 4 - 16%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P. 11. Ferguson E.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 5. Valenti L. 24. Ordonez C. 22. Sorensen O. 8. Estevez N. 10. Bernabe A. 27. Britschgi S. 32. Cutrone P. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 9. Dovbyk A. 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	11. Almqvist P. 19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 75. Cardinali A. 78. Ciardi A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 3. Ndiaye A. 65. Plicco E. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ferguson E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
38', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bailey L. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
60', Cutrone P. ↓, Benedyczak A. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Hermoso M. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),
73', Soule M. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
77', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
77', Bernabe A. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
78', Estevez N. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽,
85', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
85', Wesley Franca ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Circati A. ⚽, Benedyczak A. (A),
90+1', Britschgi S. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
90+2', Ordonez C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Parma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Roma is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Bove E. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury) Valeri E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Angelino (Illness)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Roma won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
25.10.25	Parma - Como	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Parma - Spezia	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1
22.12.24	Roma - Parma	5:0
14.03.21	Parma - Roma	2:0
22.11.20	Roma - Parma	3:0
08.07.20	Roma - Parma	2:1
Coppa Italia
16.01.20	Parma - Roma	0:2
Italian Serie A
10.11.19	Parma - Roma	2:0

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