Match Info

Serie A - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, DAZN Fast+, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Milan		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.7	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.00	3.33	3.96	Watch
	2.31	3.17	3.75
	2.14	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
43.8%

Draw
30.6%

Roma
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	40%	15%

Milan - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 18 - 45%). Roma will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 29.6% – 60.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Roma (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Roma (1.87) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Milan (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Roma (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 5. De Winter K. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 4. Ricci S. 33. Bartesaghi D. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Leao R.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 8. El Aynaoui N. 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. (C) 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 38. Castiello A. 2. Estupinan P. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 1. Terracciano P. (G) 23. Tomori F.	31. Bailey L. 35. Baldanzi T. 9. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Soule M. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
52', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
74', Wesley Franca 🟨,
75', Celik Z. 🟨,
77', Celik Z. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
78', Fofana Y. 🟨,
82', Dybala P. (Pen),
83', Hermoso M. 🟨,
84', Nkunku C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
84', Hermoso M. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
84', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
88', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
90+4', Leao R. ↓, Tomori F. ↑,
90+5', Mancini G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 1.

Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Milan might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Injury) Pulisic C. (Thigh Injury) Rabiot A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Ferguson E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Juventus - Milan	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Milan - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.05.25	Roma - Milan	3:1
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1
Italian Serie A
29.12.24	Milan - Roma	1:1
Club Friendly
31.05.24	Roma - Milan	5:2
UEFA Europa League
18.04.24	Roma - Milan	2:1
11.04.24	Milan - Roma	0:1
Italian Serie A
14.01.24	Milan - Roma	3:1

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