Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Diamantopoulos A. (Gre)


	Rosenborg		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	11	Watch
	1.2	6.5	11	Watch
	1.2	6.5	12
	1.2	6	11
	1.17	5.95	12.6
	1.2	7.2	11.75
	1.25	6.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.39)	6.36 ↑ (4.59)	11.48 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
77.2%

Draw
14.6%

Crusaders
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

19.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg's performance.

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	3.7%	3.7%

Rosenborg - Crusaders Predictions

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen A. (G) 32. Cornic L. 2. Reitan E. (C) 23. Jenssen U. 19. Pereira A. 41. Nypan S. 8. Borkeeiet T. 20. Tagseth E. 10. Holse C. 9. Saeter O. 11. Nelson J.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 20. Larmour D. 7. Lowry P. 2. Burns B. (C) 14. Forsythe J. 8. Kennedy B. 19. Winchester J. 22. Heatley P. 25. Clarke R. 23. McKeown R. 15. O'Rourke J.
Substitutes
44. Holte M. 15. Rogers S. 16. Rosten H. 5. Skjelbred P. 24. Tangvik S. (G) 17. Thorvaldsson I. 6. Vaananen S.	42. Anderson L. 17. Kennedy M. 9. Lecky A. 18. Owens J. 24. Robinson J. 21. Smith M. 11. Teelan J. 6. Weir R. 1. Williamson J. (G)
Coaches
Maalen S.	Baxter S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Rosenborg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Crusaders is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rosenborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crusaders have a series of home games.

In this match Rosenborg is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosenborg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rosenborg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.23	Rosenborg - Odd	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Crusaders - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.23	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Rosenborg - Tromsø	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Rosenborg - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL
- Crusaders FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Crusaders - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
20.07.23	Crusaders - Haka	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Crusaders - Glasgow Rangers B	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Haka - Crusaders	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Crusaders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Crusaders - Rosenborg	2:2
UEFA Europa League
11.07.13	Rosenborg - Crusaders	7:2
04.07.13	Crusaders - Rosenborg	1:2
12.07.12	Rosenborg - Crusaders	1:0

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