Match Info

Championship - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)

Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)


	Ross County		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.71	4.6
	1.69	3.77	4.79	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.44	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	4.53 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross County
54%

Draw
25.7%

Queens Park
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

22.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Ross County - Queens Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Queens Park will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carson T. (G) 15. Smith D. 5. Pitan L. 16. Iacovitti A. 6. Randall C. (C) 23. Docherty R. 38. Lindsay J. 3. O'Sullivan L. 11. Phillips K. 12. Carbon J. 26. White J.	1. Ferrie C. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 22. Shiels M. 35. Lamie R. 3. Fieldson H. 8. MacGregor R. 7. Longridge L. (C) 11. Connolly A. 28. Drozd S. 27. Smith C. 77. Todorov N.
Substitutes
27. Duncan R. 21. Foster B. (G) 31. Gallagher D. 7. Henderson J. 9. Ikpeazu U. 24. Kamara K. 62. Mackie S. 44. Scott J. 29. Thomson M.	20. Bradley J. 25. MacKenzie M. 17. McDonnell T. 21. McLean R. 29. McLeish L. 9. Ruth M. 10. Savoury G. 31. Sliwinski M. (G) 16. Waugh R.
Coaches
Kettlewell S.	Crighton S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Longridge L. 🟨,
45', Smith D. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Shiels M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Phillips K. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
46', O'Sullivan L. ↓, Mackie S. ↑,
56', Randall C. 🟨,
58', Carbon J. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
58', Iacovitti A. ↓, Ikpeazu U. ↑,
67', Smith C. ↓, Savoury G. ↑,
72', Kettlewell S. 🟨,
75', Lindsay J. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
78', Drozd S. ↓, Ruth M. ↑,
90', MacGregor R. 🟨,
90', Connolly A. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Ross County have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Queens Park is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ross County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ross County has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ross County is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ross County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Queen's Park: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Queen's Park	9	1	1	7	4:15	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 22.69%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross County
Scottish Football Championship
03.02.26	Queens Park - Ross County	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Greenock Morton - Ross County	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Motherwell - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Queens Park FC
Scottish Cup
08.02.26	Glasgow Rangers - Queens Park	8:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.02.26	Queens Park - Ross County	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
03.02.26	Queens Park - Ross County	0:1
20.09.25	Ross County - Queens Park	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Ross County - Queens Park	1:2

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