Match Info

Championship - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The City Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)


	Queens Park		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.57	3.15	2.29
	3.6	3.12	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.42	2.91	2.16	Watch
	3.5	3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park
27.3%

Draw
29.4%

Arbroath
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Queens Park - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 4. Murray E. (C) 22. Shiels M. 3. Fieldson H. 11. Connolly A. 8. MacGregor R. 10. Savoury G. 7. Longridge L. 28. Drozd S. 27. Smith C.	1. McAdams A. (G) 12. Stewart S. 6. Muirhead A. 2. Lang T. 4. Wilkie J. 28. Robinson S. 25. Cochrane H. 17. Marshall F. 8. Flynn R. (C) 11. Dow R. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
20. Bradley J. 35. Lamie R. 25. MacKenzie M. 17. McDonnell T. 21. McLean R. 29. McLeish L. 31. Sliwinski M. (G) 23. Sowa J. 16. Waugh R.	14. Callachan R. 27. Enem V. 18. Gillie L. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 16. Watson C.
Coaches
Crighton S.	Hamilton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Robinson S. ⚽, Dow R. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽, Savoury G. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Drozd S. ⚽, Savoury G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fieldson H. 🟨,
61', Fieldson H. ↓, Lamie R. ↑,
63', Murray E. 🟨,
70', Cochrane H. ↓, Callachan R. ↑,
71', Reilly G. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
82', Savoury G. ↓, MacKenzie M. ↑,
82', Stewart S. ↓, Watson C. ↑,
86', Lamie R. 🟨,
88', Drozd S. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
90+1', Longridge L. 🟨,
90+1', MacGregor R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 3.

Queens Park is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arbroath's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Queens Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arbroath is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Arbroath: 1.23% Queen's Park: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11
10	Queen's Park	9	1	1	7	4:15	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 26.86%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Arbroath - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.26	Stranraer - Queens Park	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Queens Park - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Queens Park - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
23.01.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	4:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Arbroath - East Fife	3:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	2:3 ✺
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
11.10.25	Arbroath - Queens Park	4:1
09.08.25	Queens Park - Arbroath	1:3
27.04.24	Arbroath - Queens Park	0:5
27.02.24	Queens Park - Arbroath	6:0
19.08.23	Arbroath - Queens Park	0:1
12.08.23	Queens Park - Arbroath	2:1
24.03.23	Queens Park - Arbroath	0:1

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