The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park 27.3%
Draw 29.4%
Arbroath 43.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
28.3%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
28.3%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Queens Park - Arbroath Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 4. Murray E. (C) 22. Shiels M. 3. Fieldson H. 11. Connolly A. 8. MacGregor R. 10. Savoury G. 7. Longridge L. 28. Drozd S. 27. Smith C.
1. McAdams A. (G) 12. Stewart S. 6. Muirhead A. 2. Lang T. 4. Wilkie J. 28. Robinson S. 25. Cochrane H. 17. Marshall F. 8. Flynn R. (C) 11. Dow R. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
20. Bradley J. 35. Lamie R. 25. MacKenzie M. 17. McDonnell T. 21. McLean R. 29. McLeish L. 31. Sliwinski M. (G) 23. Sowa J. 16. Waugh R.
14. Callachan R. 27. Enem V. 18. Gillie L. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 16. Watson C.
Coaches
Crighton S.
Hamilton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Robinson S. ⚽, Dow R. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽, Savoury G. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Drozd S. ⚽, Savoury G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fieldson H. 🟨,
61', Fieldson H. ↓, Lamie R. ↑,
63', Murray E. 🟨,
70', Cochrane H. ↓, Callachan R. ↑,
71', Reilly G. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
82', Savoury G. ↓, MacKenzie M. ↑,
82', Stewart S. ↓, Watson C. ↑,
86', Lamie R. 🟨,
88', Drozd S. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
90+1', Longridge L. 🟨,
90+1', MacGregor R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 3.
Queens Park is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arbroath's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Queens Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arbroath is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Arbroath
12
3
2
7
7:18
-11
11
10
Queen's Park
12
2
1
9
6:19
-13
7
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Queen's Park: 0.8% Arbroath: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Arbroath - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Ferrie C. (G) 
Pignatiello C. 
Sliwinski M. (G) 
Sowa J. 
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