Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Amelin A. (Rus)


	Rostov		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.82	8.16
	1.4	4.65	7.8
	1.44	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)	4.62 ↑ (4.18)	7.65 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
67%

Draw
20.5%

Torpedo Moscow
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

21.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Rostov - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rostov: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Rostov has the most likely position - 2 (31.23%), project points - 55, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (86.27%), project points - 16, currently - 8, a very good chance of relegated (99%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, importance 35, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Rostov is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Rostov: Medvedev N. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rostov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rostov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
19.03.23	Khimki - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
16.03.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
12.03.23	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
27.02.23	Ural - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Premier League
19.03.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Krasnodar - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
26.02.23	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.23	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
05.09.22	Torpedo Moscow - Rostov	0:1
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Torpedo Moscow - Rostov	2:0
Russian Premier League
20.04.15	Rostov - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
22.11.14	Torpedo Moscow - Rostov	2:1

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