Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:45	Arena Premium 3
North Macedonia	11:45	MaxTV GO
Russia	13:45	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	11:45	Arena Sport 3


	Rostov		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3.42
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.34	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.27 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
41.5%

Draw
29.3%

Lokomotiv Moscow
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Petrov A. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 8. Mironov A. 27. Prokhin D. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 10. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.	1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 5. Nyamsi G. 85. Morozov E. 45. Silyanov A. 75. Eremeev I. 18. Titkov N. 7. Bakaev Z. 19. Rudenko A. 77. Mostovoy A. 27. Komlichenko N.
Substitutes
73. Aznaurov I. 59. Babakin N. 78. Chistyakov D. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 26. Khlusevich D. 5. Mikhailov Y. 7. Ronaldo 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D. 1. Yatimov R. (G)	74. Chevardin D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 47. Godyaev D. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 3. Lucas Fasson 23. Montes C. 99. Myalkovskiy R. 11. Rakov V. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Kirichenko D.	Galaktionov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Langovich A. ⚽, Kuchaev K. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Olusegun O. ⚽, Sako O. (A),
25', Bakaev Z. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eremeev I. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
60', Rudenko A. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
61', Komarov I. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
81', Olusegun O. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
81', Kuchaev K. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
83', Suleymanov T. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
90+3', Ronaldo 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Rostov (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lokomotiv has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Lokomotiv has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Rostov is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Rostov: Ignatov G. (Inactive) Zhbanov I. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rostov has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:35 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rostov against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Rostov	12	4	3	5	13:17	-4	15
13	Lokomotiv Moscow	12	2	5	5	16:16	0	11

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84% Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
18.10.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
14.10.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
09.10.26	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
17.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar	3:3 ✺
Russian Cup
13.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Premier League
30.11.25	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:3
23.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	3:3
Russian Cup
30.04.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	0:2
Russian Premier League
26.04.25	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:3 penalties

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