Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Nizhny Novgorod		Rostov

	1	X	2
	3.24	3.19	2.43
	3.14	3.24	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
30.4%

Draw
30.1%

Rostov
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nizhny Novgorod have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rostov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rostov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 70. Shnaptsev M. 24. Farina E. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Karic S. 29. Ticic L. 6. Sarfo A. 17. Smelov E. 40. Olusegun O. 10. Balboa A. 88. Lesovoy D.	1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 78. Chistyakov D. 22. Semenchuk D. 7. Ronaldo 10. Shchetinin K. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 40. Vakhania I. 69. Golenkov E. 99. Suleymanov T.
Substitutes
2. Aleksandrov V. 23. Castillo J. 21. Cephas R. 19. Ermakov N. 27. Grulev V. 77. Ivlev A. 78. Kalinski N. 3. Koledin Y. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 8. Maiga M. 69. Sidorenko A. 14. Urvantsev M.	17. Ajasa I. M. 59. Babakin N. 19. Bayramyan K. 34. El Askalany E. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 9. Mohebi M. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽, Shchetinin K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smelov E. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
46', Lesovoy D. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
46', Balboa A. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
51', Shchetinin K. 🟨,
55', Chistyakov D. 🟨,
61', Ronaldo ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
61', Kuchaev K. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
71', Shchetinin K. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
71', Chistyakov D. ↓, Ignatov G. ↑,
79', Farina E. 🟨,
85', Ticic L. ↓, Sidorenko A. ↑,
86', Golenkov E. 🟨,
89', Kirsch I. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
90+2', Suleymanov T. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
90+5', Urvantsev M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 1.

In recent matches, Pari NN has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rostov has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rostov might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rostov: Sako O. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod	5:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Krylya Sovetov	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLT
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
22.10.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	4:1
14.08.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:0
Russian Premier League
10.08.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0
30.11.24	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	4:0
19.10.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:1
Club Friendly
21.02.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:0
Russian Premier League
26.11.23	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0

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