Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Rostov		Zenit

	1	X	2
	8.02	3.88	1.53
	8.16	4.8	1.43	Watch
	7	4	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (7.6)	4.23 ↓ (4.33)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
12.2%

Draw
22.3%

Zenit
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

21.1%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

20.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rostov - Zenit Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Zenit (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 78. Chistyakov D. 3. Sako O. 87. Langovich A. 62. Komarov I. 8. Mironov A. 10. Shchetinin K. 40. Vakhania I. (C) 99. Suleymanov T. 9. Mohebi M.	16. Adamov D. (G) 6. Drkusic V. 78. Diveev I. 33. Nino 3. Santos D. (C) 5. Barrios W. 8. Wendel 11. Luiz Henrique 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 7. Sobolev A.
Substitutes
19. Bayramyan K. 69. Golenkov E. 67. Ignatov G. 18. Kuchaev K. 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 7. Ronaldo 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D. 57. Zhbanov I.	23. Adamov A. 28. Alip N. 21. Erokhin A. 4. Gorshkov Y. 31. Gustavo Mantuan 14. Jhon Jhon 15. Karavaev V. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 61. Kondakov D. 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 66. Vega R.
Coaches
Alba J.	Semak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Mohebi M. 🟨,
13', Mironov A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Sobolev A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟥,
77', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 0.

Rostov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zenit is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Zenit is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Zenit: Shilov V. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rostov: Hankic H. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Zenit - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 66.82%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
11.05.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Rostov - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Rostov - Sochi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLTL
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
10.05.26	Zenit - Sochi	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	CSKA Moscow - Zenit	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
20.07.25	Zenit - Rostov	2:1
18.05.25	Rostov - Zenit	0:1
Russian Cup
16.04.25	Zenit - Rostov	2:0
12.03.25	Rostov - Zenit	0:1
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Rostov - Zenit	1:2
Russian Premier League
03.08.24	Zenit - Rostov	5:0
25.05.24	Zenit - Rostov	2:1

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