Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5


	Rostov		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.57	4.19
	1.97	3.64	4.27	Watch
	1.9	3.14	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.25)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	4.02 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
48.8%

Draw
27.5%

Orenburg
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rostov - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 78. Chistyakov D. 3. Sako O. 40. Vakhania I. 10. Shchetinin K. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 7. Ronaldo 69. Golenkov E. 99. Suleymanov T.	88. Rudakov M. (G) 18. Moufi F. (C) 6. Palacios J. 4. Khotulev D. 32. Cantero A. 65. Ivashchenko I. 57. Bolotov E. 16. Thompson J. 37. Du Queiroz 7. Gurluk E. 19. Alexandre Jesus
Substitutes
17. Ajasa I. M. 19. Bayramyan K. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 9. Mohebi M. 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D.	59. Avanesyan T. 29. El Mahraoui A. 27. Golybin R. 30. Guzina G. 38. Kasimov A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 33. Kvekveskiri I. 2. Poroykov S. 8. Puebla D. 9. Savelyev M. 26. Tsenov E. 3. Vedernikov D.
Coaches
Alba J.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Melekhin V. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
66', Kuchaev K. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
72', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
72', Gurluk E. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
72', Thompson J. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
73', Golenkov E. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Guzina G. ⚽,
88', Shchetinin K. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
89', Rudakov M. 🟨,
90+3', Cantero A. 🟨,
90+3', Cantero A. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
90+6', Du Queiroz ↓, Kvekveskiri I. ↑,
90+7', Vedernikov D. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rostov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Orenburg: Ovsyannikov B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84% Orenburg: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 43.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
21.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Rostov - Sochi	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTWL
- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Orenburg - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
05.10.25	Orenburg - Rostov	0:1
08.03.25	Orenburg - Rostov	1:2
Russian Cup
18.09.24	Rostov - Orenburg	3:1
28.08.24	Orenburg - Rostov	0:1
Russian Premier League
17.08.24	Rostov - Orenburg	3:2
29.04.24	Rostov - Orenburg	2:1
06.11.23	Orenburg - Rostov	1:1

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