The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 57.5%
Draw 22.8%
Crawley Town 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
20.9%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
20.2%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Rotherham United - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. 24. Humphreys C. 6. James R. 25. Mpanzu P. 15. Sibley L. 7. Powell J. 12. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C) 8. Nombe S.
1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. (C) 24. Mullarkey T. 28. Flint J. 18. Quitirna A. 27. Watson L. 10. Fraser L. 23. Ibrahim B. 19. Kelly J. 26. Doyle K. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R.
Substitutes
39. Duncan H. 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 37. Hull J. 4. Kelly L. 20. Phillips D. (G)
6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 7. Forster H. 8. Holohan G. 45. John-Jules T. 30. Radcliffe B.
Coaches
Evans S.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Sibley L. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Quitirna A. (A),
45+3', Watson L. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sibley L. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
46', Mpanzu P. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Doyle K. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
59', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
59', Wilks M. 🟨,
72', Doyle K. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
82', Forster H. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
83', Kelly J. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Holohan G. ⚽, Camara P. (A),
87', 0 - 4, Camara P. ⚽, Fraser L. (A),
89', Nombe S. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Recent matches Rotherham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Rotherham is a favorite.
There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D.
(Leg Injury)
Jules Z.
(Injury)
MacDonald A.
(Hip Injury)
Raggett S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
Watch
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Dawson C. (G) 
Rafferty J. 
Mpanzu P. 
Clarke-Harris J. (C) 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Quitirna A. 
Fraser L. 
Kelly J. 
Kelly L. 
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