The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 21.2%
Draw 25.2%
Charlton Athletic 53.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
26.8%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
26.6%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.2%
4.8%
88%
Crawley Town - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Charlton Athletic will win
(73 of 82 users predict this - 89.02%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.25% – 95.79%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 3. Conroy D. (C) 5. Barker C. 25. Papadopoulos A. 18. Quitirna A. 19. Kelly J. 6. Anderson M. 45. John-Jules T. 9. Swan W. 29. Showunmi T.
21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.
Substitutes
16. Beach E. (G) 12. Camara P. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J. 17. Tanimu B.
9. Ahadme G. 18. Anderson K. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 14. Hylton D. 25. Mannion W. (G)
Coaches
Elliot R.
Jones N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Anderson K. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Small T. ⚽, Gilbert A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Edwards J. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
56', Quitirna A. 🟨,
64', Camara P. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
64', Anderson M. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
79', Barker C. 🟨,
80', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
83', Fraser L. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
83', Adeyemo A. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
85', Leaburn M. ↓, Hylton D. ↑,
85', Gilbert A. ↓, McIntyre T. ↑,
86', Mullarkey T. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
90+4', Campbell T. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.
Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Charlton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.
Recently Charlton have a series of home games.
In this match Charlton is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1.3:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
United-kingdom
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Wollacott J. (G) 
Mullarkey T. 
Quitirna A. 
Kelly J. 
Anderson M. 
Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 
Coventry C. 
Beach E. (G) 
Roles J. 
Tanimu B. 
Ahadme G. 
Anderson K. 
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