Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Rotherham United		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.75
	1.9	3.5	3.8
	1.95	3.5	4
	1.89	3.5	3.75
	1.85	3.77	4.32
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	2	3.7	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.62 ↑ (3.57)	3.91 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
49.6%

Draw
26.2%

Milton Keynes Dons
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

17.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotherham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rotherham United - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Rotherham has the most likely position - 1 (78.09%), has project points - 97, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (78%).

MK Dons has the most likely position - 3 (31.74%), has project points - 85, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 32, big importance 71, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rotherham is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
01.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
22.02.22	Rotherham United - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
18.02.22	Rotherham United - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
26.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.10.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Rotherham United	0:3
29.02.20	Rotherham United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
23.11.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Rotherham United	2:3
13.03.18	Milton Keynes Dons - Rotherham United	3:2
23.12.17	Rotherham United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English League Championship
09.04.16	Milton Keynes Dons - Rotherham United	0:4
08.08.15	Rotherham United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4

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