Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Sunderland		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.02	3.5	3.8
	2.05	3.3	3.45
	2.07	3.49	3.77
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.1	3.64	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.6 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
45.7%

Draw
27.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

18.8%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 5 (13.87%), has project points - 77, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

MK Dons has the most likely position - 3 (17.93%), has project points - 79, has currently - 57, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 26, small importance 28, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

MK Dons is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
12.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	6:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
12.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
25.01.22	Burton Albion - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.08.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	1:2
06.02.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	2:2
English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	0:3
English League One
14.11.20	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2
18.01.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	0:1
28.09.19	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English League Cup
27.08.13	Sunderland - Milton Keynes Dons	4:2

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