Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 5

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7
	4.5	3.9	1.78
	4.84	4.04	1.74
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.65	4.05	1.69	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.54)	3.95 ↑ (3.44)	1.72 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
20.8%

Draw
24%

Norwich City
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.4%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norwich City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	4.2%	91.7%

Rotherham United - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 2. Lembikisa D. 24. Humphreys C. 6. Blackett T. 3. Bramall C. 18. Rathbone O. 27. Tiehi C. 7. Cafu 11. Green A. 10. Hugill J. 14. Onyedinma F.	28. Gunn A. (G) 3. Stacey J. 24. Duffy S. 6. Gibson B. 30. Giannoulis D. 23. McLean K. (C) 17. Gabriel Sara 16. Fassnacht C. 10. Barnes A. 27. Rowe J. 11. Idah A.
Substitutes
30. Appiah A. 15. Bola T. 36. Douglas H. 9. Eaves T. 35. McGuckin C. 23. Morrison S. 29. Nombe S. 26. Phillips D. (G)	35. Fisher K. 8. Gibbs L. 12. Long G. (G) 15. McCallum S. 38. McCracken J. (G) 26. Nunez M. 20. Placheta P. 42. Springett T. 50. Warner J.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Wagner D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0.

Rotherham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norwich is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Norwich have a series of guest games.

In this match Norwich is a favorite.

There will not play in Rotherham: Ferguson S. (Hernia) Hall G. (Injury) Kelly G. (Knee Injury) Lindsay J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Odoffin H. (Leg Injury) Peltier L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Hanley G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury) Sainz B. (Ankle Injury) Sargent J. (Ankle Injury) Sorensen J. (Groin Injury) Tomkinson J. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Cup
29.08.23	Stoke City - Rotherham United	6:1 ✺
English League Championship
26.08.23	Rotherham United - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Sunderland - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Rotherham United - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Rotherham United - Morecambe	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTW
- Norwich City
English League Cup
29.08.23	Bristol City - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
26.08.23	Huddersfield Town - Norwich City	0:4 ✺
20.08.23	Norwich City - Millwall	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.08.23	Queens Park Rangers - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
12.08.23	Southampton - Norwich City	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.04.23	Norwich City - Rotherham United	0:0
05.11.22	Rotherham United - Norwich City	1:2
20.02.21	Norwich City - Rotherham United	1:0
17.10.20	Rotherham United - Norwich City	1:2
16.03.19	Rotherham United - Norwich City	1:2
01.12.18	Norwich City - Rotherham United	3:1
14.01.17	Rotherham United - Norwich City	2:1

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