Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 3

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)


	Sunderland		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5.5
	1.6	4.1	5.25
	1.6	4.15	5.75
	1.61	4.11	6.04
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.58	4.15	5.6	Watch
	1.59	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	4.1 ↑ (3.64)	5.53 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
59.7%

Draw
23.1%

Rotherham United
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Sunderland - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. (C) 3. Cirkin D. 10. Roberts P. 24. Neil D. 7. Bellingham J. 39. Ekwah P. 20. Clarke J. 46. Dack B.	1. Johansson V. (G) 2. Lembikisa D. 24. Humphreys C. 6. Blackett T. 3. Bramall C. 22. Odoffin H. 7. Cafu 18. Rathbone O. 11. Green A. 10. Hugill J. 27. Tiehi C.
Substitutes
17. Ba A. 6. Batth D. 19. Bennette J. 30. Bishop N. (G) 11. Gooch L. 2. Huggins N. 21. Pritchard A. 9. Silva L. 25. Triantis N.	41. Ayres J. 15. Bola T. 9. Eaves T. 19. Kayode J. 5. McCart J. 35. McGuckin C. 23. Morrison S. 26. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Mowbray T.	Taylor M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

Sunderland has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rotherham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Injury) Evans C. (Knee Injury) Matete J. (Knee Injury) Mayenda E. (Injury) Stewart R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Rotherham: Ferguson S. (Injury) Lindsay J. (Injury) Onyedinma F. (Red Card) Peltier L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Embleton E. (Ankle Injury) Gooch L. (Injury) Seelt J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Eaves T. (Injury) Green A. (Injury) Hall G. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
12.08.23	Preston North End - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
06.08.23	Sunderland - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Hartlepool United - Sunderland	5:2 ✺
29.07.23	Sunderland - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Rotherham United
English League Championship
12.08.23	Rotherham United - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Rotherham United - Morecambe	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Stoke City - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Lincoln City - Rotherham United	0:3 ✺
25.07.23	Rotherham United - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.02.23	Rotherham United - Sunderland	2:1
31.08.22	Sunderland - Rotherham United	3:0
English League One
26.04.22	Sunderland - Rotherham United	1:1
30.10.21	Rotherham United - Sunderland	5:1
17.09.19	Sunderland - Rotherham United	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.16	Rotherham United - Sunderland	1:2

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