The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 33.9%
Draw 27.6%
Norwich City 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
27%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
27.3%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Bristol City - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Norwich will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 26.9% – 73.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 2. McCrorie R. 38. Eile N. 21. Neto Borges 3. Pring C. 4. Randell A. 40. Morsy S. 17. Sykes M. 10. Twine S. 12. Knight J. 18. Riis E.
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 8. Gibbs L. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 29. Schwartau O. 25. Maghoma P. 21. Ahmed A. 37. Toure M.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 11. Burgzorg D. 16. Dickie R. 44. Earthy G. 14. Horvat T. 24. Naylor S. 19. Tanner G. 32. Thomas L. (G)
26. Field S. 18. Forson A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 15. McConville R. 46. Mundle Smith E. 20. Slimane A. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Hodgson R.
Clement P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Morsy S. ⚽, Pring C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', 1 - 1, Toure M. ⚽,
54', Toure M. 🟨,
65', Riis E. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
65', Sykes M. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
65', Twine S. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Schwartau O. (A),
72', McLean K. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Toure M. ⚽, Maghoma P. (A),
77', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
78', Maghoma P. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
78', Morsy S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Cordoba J. ⚽, McLean K. (A),
83', Ahmed A. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
84', Schwartau O. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
87', McCrorie R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
90+1', McLean K. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Bell S. ⚽, Burgzorg D. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Ankle Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Norwich: Amass H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Foot Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Injury)
Dickie R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Norwich: 5.19% Bristol City: 2.54%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Bristol City
8
4
1
3
11:12
-1
13
17
Norwich
8
3
0
5
16:17
-1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Bristol City - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Norwich City - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.