Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)


	Stoke City		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.55	4.05	5.75
	1.56	4.16	5.99
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.57	4.2	5.6	Watch
	1.56	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	4.05 ↑ (3.85)	5.66 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
60.3%

Draw
23.2%

Rotherham United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

23.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Stoke City - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bonham J. (G) 17. Hoever K. 5. Rose M. 16. Wilmot B. 14. Tymon J. 28. Laurent J. (C) 4. Pearson B. 6. Burger W. 27. Leris M. 19. Mmaee R. 10. Campbell T.	26. Phillips D. (G) 15. Bola T. 23. Morrison S. (C) 5. McCart J. 3. Bramall C. 30. Appiah A. 24. Humphreys C. 7. Cafu 11. Green A. 35. McGuckin C. 10. Hugill J.
Substitutes
34. Fielding F. (G) 11. Gayle D. 12. Johnson D. 21. Jojic N. 23. McNally L. 30. Sidibe S. 3. Stevens E. 15. Thompson J. 18. Wesley	6. Blackett T. 36. Douglas H. 9. Eaves T. 1. Johansson V. (G) 19. Kayode J. 2. Lembikisa D. 14. Onyedinma F. 18. Rathbone O. 27. Tiehi C.
Coaches
Neil A.	Taylor M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.

Recent matches Stoke is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rotherham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Stoke is a favorite.

There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Injury) Tezgel E. (Injury)

There will not play in Rotherham: Ferguson S. (Hernia) Hall G. (Injury) Lindsay J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Peltier L. (Calf Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
26.08.23	Millwall - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Stoke City - Watford	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Stoke City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Stoke City - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW
- Rotherham United
English League Championship
26.08.23	Rotherham United - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Sunderland - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Rotherham United - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Rotherham United - Morecambe	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Stoke City - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.08.23	Stoke City - Rotherham United	4:1
26.12.22	Rotherham United - Stoke City	2:2
18.10.22	Stoke City - Rotherham United	0:1
19.01.21	Rotherham United - Stoke City	3:3
31.10.20	Stoke City - Rotherham United	1:0
13.04.19	Stoke City - Rotherham United	2:2
29.09.18	Rotherham United - Stoke City	2:2

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