The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 31.7%
Draw 30.4%
Nottingham Forest 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
29.1%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
20.9%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotherham United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.2%
38.1%
35.7%
Rotherham United - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Nottingham will win (votes: 15 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 38.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 52.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).
Rotherham has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Rotherham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nottingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.