Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rotherham United		Derby County

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.50	1.77
	3.90	3.80	1.68
	3.76	3.50	1.83
	7.40	5.10	1.33	Watch
	3.70	3.35	1.78
	3.74	3.95	1.82	Watch
	3.85	3.50	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.81 ↑ (3.55)	1.72 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
21.6%

Draw
24.3%

Derby County
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.

Rotherham United - Derby County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cann T. (G) 16. Adegboyega E. 24. Buyabu J. 28. Cover B. 12. Hall D. 22. Jellis J. 23. Nemane A. 3. Otoo E. 8. Spence K. 7. Tavares F. 14. Trialist	1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 10. Brown D. 8. Clark B. 5. Clarke M. 37. Eames O. 29. Fraulo O. 22. Johnston M. 6. Langas S. 11. Szmodics S. 18. Taylor C. 27. Travis L. (C)
Substitutes
. Agbaire L. . Ashley O. . Childs B. (G) . Clarke L. . Gardner D. . Kaleta M. . Lee C. . Martha A. . Mullin P. . Rafferty J. . Trialist A (G) . Trialist B	17. Blackett-Taylor C. 3. Forsyth C. 41. Hodges D. 50. Kane S. (G) 12. Price H. (G) 28. Sanderson D. 23. Ward J. 40. Wilson C.
Coaches
Clark L.	Eustace J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szmodics S. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
46', Taylor C. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
46', Brown D. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
60', Cover B. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
60', Nemane A. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
63', Johnston M. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Ashley O. ⚽,
72', Cann T. ↓, Trialist A ↑,
72', Otoo E. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
72', Adegboyega E. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
72', Hall D. ↓, Trialist B ↑,
72', Buyabu J. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
72', Tavares F. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
78', Travis L. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
81', Jellis J. ↓, Gardner D. ↑,
81', Spence K. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
83', Clark B. 🟨,
84', Ashley O. 🟨,
87', Eames O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.

Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Derby is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Derby County - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Darlington - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Rotherham United - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Alfreton Town - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Matlock Town - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
English League One
02.05.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Rotherham United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWTL
- Derby County
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Burton Albion - Derby County	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Mansfield Town - Derby County	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Freiburg - Derby County	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Alfreton Town - Derby County	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
02.05.26	Derby County - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.02.21	Rotherham United - Derby County	3:0
16.01.21	Derby County - Rotherham United	0:1
30.03.19	Derby County - Rotherham United	6:1
15.09.18	Rotherham United - Derby County	1:0
07.05.17	Rotherham United - Derby County	1:1
19.11.16	Derby County - Rotherham United	3:0
12.03.16	Rotherham United - Derby County	3:3

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