Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Ground (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Events
Albania	17:00	SuperSport 7
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	17:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	21:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	11:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Cyprus	18:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:00	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	18:00	Viaplay
France	17:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 10, Canal+ Live 7
Germany	17:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	15:00	SÝN
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	17:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Arena, Astro Go, Canal+, Sooka
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Philippines	23:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	17:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	16:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	18:00	Voyo
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Events
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	17:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	16:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Nottingham Forest		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	2
	3.2	3.7	2.1
	3.5	3.8	2.02
	3.67	3.85	2.05
	3.37	3.93	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2
	3.68	3.9	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.68)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	2.04 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
27.7%

Draw
25.3%

Bournemouth
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	18.5%	74.1%

Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 23. Cunha 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 21. Hutchinson O. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Igor Jesus 11. Wood Ch.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 27. Toth A. 12. Adams T. 37. Rayan 22. Kroupi E. J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 16. Dominguez N. 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 25. Netz L. 27. Ortega S. (G) 45. Sillah L. 22. Yates R.	21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 11. Gannon-Doak B. 19. Kluivert J. 29. Mandas C. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Hill J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Tavernier M. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
57', Toth A. ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
62', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
63', Cunha ↓, Netz L. ↑,
65', Anderson E. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
65', Sangare I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
67', Awoniyi T. 🟨,
73', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
73', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
73', Rayan ↓, Adli A. ↑,
78', Hutchinson O. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
90', Smith A. ↓, Cook L. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 0.

In recent matches, Nottingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bournemouth is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bournemouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) Hudson-Odoi C. (Injury) Murillo (Muscle Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Red Card) Jimenez A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Aina O. (Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9
18	Nottingham	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.43% Nottingham: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Nottingham Forest - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
17.05.26	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.05.26	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTLWW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
19.05.26	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Fulham - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.10.25	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	2:0
25.01.25	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	5:0
17.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	1:1
04.02.24	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:1
23.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3
21.01.23	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:1
03.09.22	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3

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