Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Watford		Southampton

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.30	3.60	2.10
	3.56	3.5	2.03	Watch
	3.76	3.77	2.03
	3.37	3.75	2.04	Watch
	3.65	3.75	1.99
	4.04	3.63	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	2 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
26.3%

Draw
26.2%

Southampton
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Watford - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 2 - 25%). S`hampton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Pollock M. (C) 4. Keben K. 16. Bola M. 8. Bove E. 5. Kyprianou H. 21. Nabizada A. 17. Bravo I. 7. Maamma O. 20. Doumbia M.	1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 26. Bragg C. 4. Downes F. 27. Matsuki K. 7. Scienza L. 11. Dobbin L. 9. Larin C.
Substitutes
49. Adu Poku M. 26. Bachmann D. (G) 53. Clarridge J. 56. Eames A. 39. Kayembe E. 9. Kjerrumgaard L. 22. Payero M. 11. Vata R. 33. Zemura J.	19. Archer C. 10. Azaz F. 22. Brereton Diaz B. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 25. Long G. (G) 28. Mubama D. 34. Welington 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Bravo I. ⚽,
13', Pollock M. 🟨,
14', Larin C. 🟨,
18', Bree J. 🟨,
24', Bola M. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Nabizada A. ⚽,
43', Nabizada A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Bragg C. (A),
57', Dobbin L. ↓, Azaz F. ↑,
61', Bove E. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
61', Nabizada A. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
61', Bravo I. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
70', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
70', Bragg C. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
72', Doumbia M. 🟨,
74', Downes F. 🟨,
74', Maamma O. 🟨,
77', Maamma O. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
84', Payero M. 🟨,
89', Matsuki K. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 0.

Watford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

S`hampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 9.9% Watford: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Cup
08.08.26	Watford - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Watford - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Watford - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Barnet - Watford	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Boreham Wood - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTL
- Southampton FC
English League Cup
08.08.26	Colchester United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Preußen Münster - Southampton	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Southampton	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Eastleigh - Southampton	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.05.26	Hull City - Southampton	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.02.26	Southampton - Watford	1:0
30.08.25	Watford - Southampton	2:2
13.04.24	Southampton - Watford	3:2
English FA Cup
06.02.24	Southampton - Watford	3:0
28.01.24	Watford - Southampton	1:1
English League Championship
09.12.23	Watford - Southampton	1:1
English Premier League
13.03.22	Southampton - Watford	1:2

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