The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 22.7%
Draw 22.6%
Southampton 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
26.8%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
27.1%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea City's form might have worsened.
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
7.4%
86.8%
Swansea City - Southampton Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - S`hampton (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(59 of 68 users predict this - 86.76%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.82%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 13 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 41. Parker S. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 20. Cullen L. 7. Widell M. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
41. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. (C) 15. Wood N. 3. Manning R. 20. Jander C. 4. Downes F. 27. Matsuki K. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 11. Stewart R.
Substitutes
31. Cooper O. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 18. Gustavo Nunes 33. Idah A. 35. Ronald 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.
19. Archer C. 48. Bragg C. 24. Charles S. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 9. Larin C. 25. Long G. (G) 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Eckert T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Azaz F. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Stamenic M. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
23', Franco G. 🟨,
25', Downes F. 🟨,
25', Widell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Downes F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Charles S. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
60', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
60', Cullen L. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
60', Parker S. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
68', Stewart R. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
68', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
73', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
88', Bree J. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Archer C. ⚽, Jander C. (A),
90+1', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
90+2', Matsuki K. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.
Recent performances by Swansea have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
S`hampton is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, S`hampton has had a series of home games.
In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Swansea: Galbraith E.
(Inactive)
Key J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Eom J.
(Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Matsuki K.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Southampton: 6.85% Swansea: 5.14%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Swansea
9
6
2
1
15:7
8
20
13
Southampton
8
4
2
2
19:10
9
10
Last Results with these Odds
Swansea City - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.33%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Vigouroux L. (G) 
Parker S. 
Burgess C. 
Tymon J. 
Franco G. 
Stamenic M. 
Widell M. 
Eom J. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Peretz D. (G) 
Manning R. 
Jander C. 
Matsuki K. 
Scienza L. 
Stewart R. 
Walta L. 
Yalcouye M. 
Charles S. 
Larin C. 
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