Match Info

Championship - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)


	Southampton		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.47	4.68	6.38	Watch
	1.46	4.74	7.11
	1.32	5.25	8.99	Watch
	1.45	4.4	6.65	Watch
	1.35	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	4.79 ↓ (4.9)	7.11 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
66.9%

Draw
19.8%

Sheffield Wednesday
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

19%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

13.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	8.3%	41.7%

Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 40%). Sheff Wed (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 5. Stephens J. (C) 15. Wood N. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 18. Fellows T. 20. Jander C. 4. Downes F. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 9. Armstrong A. 13. Scienza L.	24. Horvath E. (G) 2. Palmer L. 6. Iorfa D. 3. Lowe M. 4. Fusire S. 7. Valery Y. 10. Bannan B. (C) 12. Amass H. 8. Ingelsson S. 18. Cadamarteri B. 17. McNeill C.
Substitutes
7. Aribo J. 42. Downs D. 12. Edwards R. 27. Matsuki K. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 17. Quarshie J. 46. Robinson J. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 53. Williams B.	32. Emery J. 36. Fernandes B. 27. Johnson R. 9. Lowe J. 28. McGhee C. 22. Otegbayo G. 25. Stretch L. (G) 37. Thornton J. 11. Ugbo I.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Pedersen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Jander C. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Amass H. ⚽,
34', Palmer L. 🟨,
39', Bannan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Downes F. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽, Harwood-Bellis T. (A),
53', Jander C. 🟨,
53', McNeill C. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
62', Bazunu G. 🟨,
66', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
68', Palmer L. ↓, Ugbo I. ↑,
76', Fellows T. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
76', Azaz F. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
87', Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↓, Quarshie J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, S`hampton is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Injury) Edozie S. (Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Brown G. (Foot Injury) Chalobah N. (Hamstring Injury) Charles P. (Shoulder Injury) Guilherme Siqueira (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kobacki O. (Groin Injury) Shipston R. (Muscle Injury) Weaver E. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Archer C. (Injury) Fraser R. (Inactive) Scienza L. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
05.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Southampton - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLT
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
05.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Charlton Athletic - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.01.24	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0
04.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:2
English League Cup
09.11.22	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 penalties
25.09.12	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0

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