Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stevenage Borough		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.50	3.25	2.85
	2.43	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.69	3.13	2.93
	2.52	3.24	2.87	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.90
	2.53	3.29	2.83	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
37.8%

Draw
29.8%

Reading
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Stevenage Borough - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 15. Vancooten T. 22. Taylor J. 6. Freestone L. (C) 8. Phillips D. 7. Taylor T. 4. Houghton J. 3. Butler D. 44. Patterson P. 11. Roberts J. 18. Sanderson O.	1. Pereira J. (C) 39. Ahmed A. 23. Masterson C. 16. Ward B. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 6. Fraser L. 8. Savage C. 14. Williams R. 17. Earthy G. 32. Lane P. 18. Brown J.
Substitutes
12. Barden D. (G) 43. Brown C. 14. Earley S. 10. Kemp D. 26. Knight J. 9. Magennis J. 28. Mellon M. 5. Piergianni C. 19. Reid J.	42. Beacroft B. 11. Kyerewaa D. 19. Lisbie K. 49. Osho E. 4. Rinomhota A. 5. Roberts H. 25. Stevens J. (G) 28. Stokes J. 10. Wing L.
Coaches
Revell A.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Brown J. ⚽, Lane P. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Lane P. ⚽,
29', Butler D. 🟨,
41', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vancooten T. ↓, Piergianni C. ↑,
59', Roberts J. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
59', Taylor T. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
71', Patterson P. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
71', Sanderson O. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
81', Earthy G. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Williams R. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
90', Piergianni C. 🟨,
90', Ward B. 🟨,
90', Lane P. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stevenage will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Patton S. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Reading - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
22.08.26	Stevenage Borough - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
07.08.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Stevenage Borough - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWWW
- Reading
English League One
22.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Reading - Luton Town	3:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Bromley - Reading	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Reading - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.03.26	Stevenage Borough - Reading	1:0
06.11.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:0
15.03.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:1
09.11.24	Stevenage Borough - Reading	1:1
06.02.24	Stevenage Borough - Reading	0:1
19.08.23	Reading - Stevenage Borough	2:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:2

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