Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 20

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Rotherham United		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.27	3.47	2.18
	3.4	3.58	2.2
	3.4	3.58	2.2
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.32	3.5	2.14	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.21)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
28.3%

Draw
27.4%

Swansea City
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.9%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Rotherham United - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 21. Peltier L. 22. Odoffin H. 4. Ayala D. 28. Revan S. 27. Tiehi C. 30. Appiah A. 16. Lindsay J. 18. Rathbone O. 3. Bramall C. 29. Nombe S.	22. Rushworth C. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 12. Paterson J. 8. Grimes M. (C) 17. Bolasie Y. 18. Patino C. 10. Lowe J.
Substitutes
9. Eaves T. 20. Hall G. 10. Hugill J. 12. Kelly G. 2. Lembikisa D. 35. McGuckin C. 23. Morrison S. 26. Phillips D. (G)	45. Congreve C. 31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 33. Humphreys B. 26. Naughton K. 41. Parker S. 28. Walsh L. 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Carlisle W.	Duff M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Swansea will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Rotherham: Blackett T. (Muscle Injury) Cafu (Muscle Injury) Clucas S. (Muscle Injury) Ferguson S. (Hernia) Green A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Humphreys C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Abdulai A. (Muscle Injury) Allen J. (Hip Injury) Ashby H. (Muscle Injury) Ginnelly J. (Muscle Injury) Kukharevych M. (Knee Injury) Ogbeta N. (Leg Injury) Wood N. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Championship
02.12.23	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
28.11.23	Hull City - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
24.11.23	Rotherham United - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Watford - Rotherham United	5:0 ✺
07.11.23	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTLT
- Swansea City
English League Championship
02.12.23	Swansea City - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.23	Leeds United - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Swansea City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.02.23	Swansea City - Rotherham United	1:1
30.07.22	Rotherham United - Swansea City	1:1
30.01.21	Rotherham United - Swansea City	1:3
21.11.20	Swansea City - Rotherham United	1:0
19.04.19	Swansea City - Rotherham United	4:3
03.11.18	Rotherham United - Swansea City	2:1
English League Cup
26.08.14	Swansea City - Rotherham United	1:0

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