The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 34%
Draw 29.7%
Sunderland 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
28.9%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
29%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
50%
18.7%
Swansea City - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 8. Grimes M. (C) 25. Peart-Harris M. 20. Cullen L. 35. Ronald 9. Vipotnik Z.
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 5. Ballard D. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
32. Abbey N. 47. Abdulai A. 19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 10. Eom J. 4. Fulton J. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 21. Tjoe a On N.
30. Aleksic M. 42. Alese A. 22. Aouchiche A. 24. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 13. O'Nien L. 15. Rusyn N.
Coaches
Williams L.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Darling H. (A),
16', Bellingham J. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Cullen L. ⚽,
22', Cabango B. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Cirkin D. 🟨,
70', Cirkin D. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
72', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
72', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Neil D. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
75', 2 - 3, Bellingham J. ⚽, Rigg C. (A),
89', Rigg C. 🟨,
90+2', Isidor W. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 4.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Swansea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Swansea: Cooper O.
(Foot Injury)
Fisher A.
(Groin Injury)
Ginnelly J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Parker S.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S.
(Leg Injury)
Abdullahi A.
(Groin Injury)
Browne A.
(Broken Leg)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Mundle R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Poveda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sunderland: O'Nien L.
(Illness)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Swansea won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25:12 (average 1.6:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).