Match Info

Championship - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.62	4	5.25
	1.61	4.11	5.36	Watch
	1.63	4.12	5.71
	1.58	4.17	5.58	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.64	4.07	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	4.02 ↓ (4.12)	5.45 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
59.2%

Draw
23.5%

Swansea City
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Ipswich Town - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 3 - 75%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 6. Neil D. 7. Burns W. 32. Nunez M. 33. Mehmeti A. 31. Azon I.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 8. Yalcouye M. 7. Widell M. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 18. Gustavo Nunes
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 8. Egeli S. W. 24. Greaves J. 9. Hirst G. 20. McAteer K. 1. Palmer A. (G) 14. Taylor J.	1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 2. Key J. 35. Ronald 16. Samuels-Smith I. 9. Vipotnik Z. 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽,
39', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Azon I. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Yalcouye M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
55', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
55', Eom J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
61', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
61', Neil D. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
69', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
69', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
75', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Walta L. ↑,
76', Widell M. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
83', Matusiwa A. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ipswich is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury) Young A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
24.02.26	Watford - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	5:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Derby County - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWT
- Swansea City
English League Championship
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Derby County - Swansea City	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Swansea City - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Watford - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4
17.02.24	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:2
11.11.23	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	3:2
22.04.19	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	0:1
06.10.18	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	2:3

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