Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Rotherham United		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.4
	1.62	4	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.16	4.59
	1.66	4.15	4.52	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.62	3.9	4.79	Watch
	1.62	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.92 ↑ (3.87)	4.66 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
56.7%

Draw
23.5%

Tranmere Rovers
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

25.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Rotherham United - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Rotherham United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. 16. Jules Z. 6. James R. 17. McWilliams S. 27. Tiehi C. 7. Powell J. 12. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C) 11. Green A.	13. Murphy J. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 6. Turnbull J. 35. Drysdale D. 3. Bradshaw Z. 17. Finley S. 16. Merrie C. 20. Taylor S. 18. Jennings C. (C) 19. Saunders H. 10. Davison J.
Substitutes
35. Hatton B. 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 21. Hungbo J. 30. McCart J. 8. Nombe S. 20. Phillips D. (G)	14. Dennis K. 1. McGee L. (G) 7. Morris K. 2. Norman C. 30. Patrick O. 21. Solomon S. 23. Wood C.
Coaches
Evans S.	Adkins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Clarke-Harris J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Green A. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
47', Jennings C. 🟨,
48', 2 - 0, Jules Z. ⚽,
54', Bradshaw Z. 🟥,
57', Taylor S. ↓, Wood C. ↑,
60', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
66', Saunders H. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
66', Davison J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
74', Wilks M. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
81', Powell J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
81', McWilliams S. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
82', Nombe S. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Dennis K. ⚽, Patrick O. (A),
90+1', 3 - 1, Odoffin H. ⚽,
90+4', Jennings C. ↓, Morris K. ↑,
90+5', Finley S. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Patrick O. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Rotherham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tranmere is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tranmere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rotherham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
03.12.24	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Crawley Town - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.11.24	Bradford City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
English League One
08.11.24	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
07.12.24	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	3:0 ✺
03.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
31.08.19	Rotherham United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
28.01.14	Tranmere Rovers - Rotherham United	1:2
22.10.13	Rotherham United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1

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