Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.55	3.63	2.14
	3.44	3.48	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3.49	3.58	2.06	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.76)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.06 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
27.5%

Draw
26.7%

Rotherham United
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.2%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

22.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crawley Town - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 20. Mukena J. 24. Mullarkey T. 22. Adeyemo A. 6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 19. Kelly J. 29. Showunmi T. 9. Swan W. 10. Darcy R. (C)	20. Phillips D. (G) 5. Raggett S. 24. Humphreys C. 16. Jules Z. 3. Bramall C. 7. Powell J. 17. McWilliams S. 22. Odoffin H. 21. Hungbo J. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C) 19. Osong D. E.
Substitutes
16. Beach E. (G) 8. Holohan G. 45. John-Jules T. 27. Khaleel R. 11. Roles J. 21. Sheik J. (G) 17. Tanimu B.	1. Dawson C. (G) 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 6. James R. 14. MacDonald A. 34. McGuckin C. 27. Tiehi C.
Coaches
Elliot R.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Swan W. ⚽, Mullarkey T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Humphreys C. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
46', Hungbo J. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
46', Anderson M. 🟨,
58', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
60', McWilliams S. 🟨,
62', McWilliams S. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
64', Showunmi T. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
72', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
72', Osong D. E. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
73', Adeyemo A. ↓, Tanimu B. ↑,
79', Camara P. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
79', Darcy R. ↓, Khaleel R. ↑,
79', Swan W. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
84', Wollacott J. 🟨,
90', Raggett S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.

Rotherham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
16.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Crawley Town - Huddersfield Town	2:2 ✺
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Maidenhead United - Crawley Town	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTTW
- Rotherham United
English EFL Trophy
19.11.24	Bradford City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
English League One
08.11.24	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	1:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leyton Orient - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.01.14	Rotherham United - Crawley Town	2:2
17.08.13	Crawley Town - Rotherham United	1:2
English League Two
24.03.12	Crawley Town - Rotherham United	N/A

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