The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 38.2%
Draw 28.9%
Tranmere Rovers 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
27.2%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
13.3%
26.7%
Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 24. Sherring S. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 14. Broom R. 7. Deeming C. 23. Hutchinson I. 16. Martin J. 10. Miller G.
33. Marosi M. (G) 28. Negru S. 5. Smith N. 15. Tamen W. 14. Joseph J. 8. Finley S. (C) 44. Watson R. 23. Bristow E. 11. Patrick O. 7. Whitaker C. 41. Woolery K.
Substitutes
4. Ashfield H. 20. Bickerstaff J. 41. Diallo M. (G) 22. Faal M. 3. Harmon G. 21. Nurse G. 11. Thomas J.
12. Barrett J. (G) 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Norman C. 26. Plant J.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Wild P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Miller G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Smith N. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Joseph J. ⚽, Negru S. (A),
66', Miller G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
66', Martin J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
77', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
77', Deeming C. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
83', Woolery K. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Patrick O. ⚽, Joseph J. (A),
86', Tomkinson J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
89', Patrick O. ↓, Plant J. ↑,
90+4', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.
Cheltenham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tranmere is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Stevenson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
13
Tranmere
10
2
6
2
13:13
0
12
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.82%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.