Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Rotor		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.44	Watch
	7	4	1.48
	7	4.25	1.44
	7	3.95	1.46
	7.64	4.25	1.49
	7.5	4.2	1.44
	8.2	4.4	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.33 ↑ (6.4)	4.18 ↑ (3.9)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
12.9%

Draw
22.6%

Rubin Kazan
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

24.2%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

20.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rotor - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to FNL and 9).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rubin has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rotor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rubin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rotor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rubin is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Cup
23.09.20	Dynamo Stavropol - Rotor	Dynamo Stavropol awarded ✺
Russian Premier League
19.09.20	Rostov - Rotor	FK Rostov awarded ✺
13.09.20	Rotor - Krasnodar	Krasnodar awarded ✺
29.08.20	Khimki - Rotor	1:1 ✺
26.08.20	Rotor - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 ???TL
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
20.09.20	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rubin Kazan	2:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
30.08.20	Rubin Kazan - Tambov	2:2 ✺
26.08.20	Rubin Kazan - Ufa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTW

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