Match Info

Date: 26 August 2020, Wednesday


	Rotor		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.5	Watch
	6.75	3.75	1.53	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.5
	6.2	3.85	1.52
	6.52	4	1.54
	7	4	1.47
	7.8	4.2	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (6.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
14%

Draw
23.9%

Spartak Moscow
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

25.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

21.5%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Rotor - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to FNL and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Spartak M has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Rotor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spartak M is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rotor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Spartak M is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rotor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
22.08.20	Rotor - Sochi	1:2 ✺
19.08.20	Akhmat Grozny - Rotor	3:1 ✺
15.08.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
11.08.20	Rotor - Zenit	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.20	CSKA Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTLT
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
23.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
19.08.20	Ufa - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
14.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
09.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	2:2 ✺
22.07.20	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.06.18	Spartak Moscow - Rotor	2:0

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