Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rotor		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	9	5	1.33	Watch
	8	4.75	1.36
	8.5	4.6	1.35
	9.6	4.8	1.3
	10.59	5.27	1.33
	12	5.25	1.25
	13.5	5.85	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.17 ↑ (7.24)	5.07 ↑ (3.93)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
9.3%

Draw
18.7%

Krasnodar
71.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13%

23.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

20.5%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krasnodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	5.3%	73.7%

Rotor - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Rotor will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to FNL and 10).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Krasnodar has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Rotor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Krasnodar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krasnodar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krasnodar is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
29.08.20	Khimki - Rotor	1:1 ✺
26.08.20	Rotor - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.08.20	Rotor - Sochi	1:2 ✺
19.08.20	Akhmat Grozny - Rotor	3:1 ✺
15.08.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLT
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
30.08.20	Krasnodar - Rostov	1:1 ✺
26.08.20	Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Ural - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
18.08.20	Krasnodar - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
15.08.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
01.11.26	Rotor - Ufa	✺
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
31.10.26	Rodina Moscow - Krasnodar	✺

Rotor - Krasnodar