Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Ruch Chorzów		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.5
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.61	4.38
	1.78	3.60	4.37	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.78	4.65
	1.54	3.7	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	3.7 ↓ (3.87)	4.5 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
54.5%

Draw
25%

Pogoń Siedlce
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

24.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Bielecki J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 24. Komor A. 4. Preisler D. 25. Ventura D. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 21. Szwedzik P. 95. Szczepan D. 77. Ceglarz P.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 2. Mis K. 31. Dzieciol E. 10. Drag M. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 56. Demianiuk C. 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K.
Substitutes
9. Bala T. 66. Klaja K. 3. Krzempek M. 17. Lukic A. 23. Mezghrani M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 5. Rosol M. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 22. Zurawski M.	23. Danielewicz K. 19. Kozlowski O. 4. Misiak P. 77. Pik D. 22. Saganowski F. 21. Stypulkowski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Podlinski K. ⚽, Dzieciol E. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Szuprytowski D. ⚽,
45+3', Flis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ventura D. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
58', Szwoch M. ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
58', Ceglarz P. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,
59', Mezghrani M. 🟨,
59', Drag M. 🟨,
71', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
74', Szczepan D. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
75', Jakubik D. 🟨,
83', Famulak M. ↓, Pik D. ↑,
87', Dzieciol E. ↓, Danielewicz K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ruch Chorzów is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
03.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
03.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
02.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
Polish Division 2
01.12.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
30.07.21	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
19.05.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
03.11.18	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
Polish Division 1
20.04.18	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:6

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