Match Info

Date: 15 August 2022, Monday

Location: Stadion Ruchu Chorzów (Chorzów)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)


	Ruch Chorzów		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.63	3.6	5
	1.71	3.55	4.3
	1.65	3.65	4.8
	1.67	3.99	5.31
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.56	4.05	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.1)	3.72 ↑ (3.16)	4.93 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
56.4%

Draw
24.8%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ruch Chorzów's performance.

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chojniczanka Chojnice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruch Chorzów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chojniczanka Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Ruch Chorzów in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chojniczanka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chojniczanka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
11.08.22	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	2:3 ✺
30.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
23.07.22	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWWW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 1
11.08.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
31.07.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Chrobry Głogów	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
27.07.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
22.07.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
21.03.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
03.09.21	Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
Polish Division 1
11.04.18	Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
27.08.17	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	4:3

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