Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 5

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.75
	2.65	3.25	2.65
	2.55	3.31	2.94
	2.4	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.48	3.42	2.77	Watch
	2.53	3.2	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
37.4%

Draw
28.6%

Jagiellonia Białystok
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buchalik M. (G) 4. Szur P. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 77. Bartolewski M. 26. Michalski K. 22. Starzynski F. 6. Swedrowski T. 20. Szymanski S. 5. Wojtowicz T. 18. Steczyk D. 95. Szczepan D.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 27. Wdowik B. 7. Marczuk D. 6. Romanchuk T. (C) 11. Imaz J. 14. Kubicki J. 28. Naranjo J. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
25. Baranowski P. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 19. Feliks M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 2. Kasolik K. 16. Sedlak J. 8. Sikora P. 88. Skwierczynski K. 71. Szywacz R.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 18. Kupisz T. 77. Laski W. 36. Lewicki J. 32. Matysik M. 8. Nene 19. Olszewski P. 3. Stojinovic D. 21. Toporkiewicz K.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Siemieniec A.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Jagiellonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of guest games.

Recently Jagiellonia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Ruch Chorzów: Letniowski J. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
28.07.23	Ruch Chorzów - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1 ✺
22.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Zemplín Michalovce	1:0 ✺
07.07.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.11.16	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2
23.07.16	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	4:1
11.12.15	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:4
16.08.15	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
29.04.15	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
09.11.14	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	5:2
16.02.14	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0

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