Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 1

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)


	Ryūkyū		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.95	1.55	Watch
	4.55	3.95	1.55
	5.2	4.32	1.55	Watch
	5	4	1.5
	4.91	4.13	1.6	Watch
	5.33	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.75)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
18.5%

Draw
22.5%

Sagan Tosu
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Ryūkyū - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 46. Ikeda R. 8. Horiuchi H. 17. Kato Y. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.	1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 3. Kamiyama K. 33. Ogawa S. 23. Kitajima F. 6. Sakurai T. 2. Matsumoto N. 18. Hyon R. 22. Yuba K. 15. Sakai N. 88. Shiohama R.
Substitutes
27. Funabashi Y. 16. Ihori K. 11. Ishiura T. 26. Jennings C. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 89. Takagi D. 28. Tsuha J. 18. Ueno Y.	26. Ando T. 76. Isotani S. 13. Jojo K. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 16. Nishizawa K. 7. Sakamoto K. 19. Suzuki D. 29. Tanaka Y. 20. Toyoda A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Sakai N. ⚽, Shiohama R. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Asakawa H. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Araki R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Sakurai T. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
62', Sakai N. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
62', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
74', Nagasawa S. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
75', Ikeda R. ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
75', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
79', Yuba K. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
83', Kato Y. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Tanaka Y. ⚽,
90+1', Sota K. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
90+1', Asakawa H. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Tosu is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Ryūkyū - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Ryūkyū - Tochigi City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLLT
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fujieda MYFC - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
03.09.16	Sagan Tosu - Ryūkyū	3:1

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