The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryazan 70.4%
Draw 18.2%
Zenit Penza 11.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.7%
17.7%
10.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.1%
17.4%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-1%)
Ryazan - Zenit Penza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Perfilov D. ⚽,
38', Vezikov A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Kotov A. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 2.
Ryazan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zenit Penza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ryazan holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Ryazan has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:14 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ryazan against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.7:1.2 per game).
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