The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kagoshima United 37.9%
Draw 31.2%
Sagan Tosu 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
30.7%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
31.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Kagoshima United - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kawakami K. (G) 7. Chibu K. 35. Egawa G. 5. Yamada Y. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 32. Umeki K. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Endo M. 55. Nakayama K. 18. Kawamura K.
12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 20. Toyoda A. 26. Ando T. 29. Tanaka Y. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Suzuki D.
Substitutes
44. Aoki Y. 9. Arita R. 1. Fujishima E. (G) 11. Fukuda M. 4. Hirose K. 23. Kojima R. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R. 14. Yoshio K.
18. Hyon R. 76. Isotani S. 1. Izumori R. (G) 3. Kamiyama K. 15. Sakai N. 7. Sakamoto K. 6. Sakurai T. 88. Shiohama R. 43. Yoshino K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Egawa G. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
44', Tanaka Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tanaka Y. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
46', Ando T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
46', Fujimura K. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
46', Chibu K. ↓, Aoki Y. ↑,
58', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Matsumoto N. ⚽, Imazu Y. (A),
68', Yuba K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
68', Toyoda A. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
71', Nakayama K. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
71', Saga R. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
75', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
76', Fukuda M. 🟨,
77', Suzuki D. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
84', Kawamura K. ↓, Take S. ↑,
Penalties (11 - 10)
1, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Egawa G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shiohama R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Arita R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yoshino K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yonezawa R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Matsumoto N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nishizawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Yamada Y. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Imazu Y. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Fukuda M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Sakai N. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Yoshio K. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Nagasawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Aoki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Hyon R. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Umeki K. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Ogawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Kawakami K. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Matsubara S. (Penalty Awarded),
12, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
12, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
13, Egawa G. (Penalty Awarded),
13, Shiohama R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tosu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Kagoshima United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kagoshima United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Sagan Tosu - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Kawakami K. (G) 
