Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	4.8	3.4	1.75
	4.2	3.35	1.82
	4.53	3.64	1.85
	4.33	3.2	1.75
	4.4	3.58	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.53)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
20.9%

Draw
27.3%

Machida Zelvia
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

28.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

27.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	15.8%	63.2%

Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0.

Ryūkyū has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Machida Zelvia have a series of home games.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
11.06.22	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Montedio Yamagata - Ryūkyū	4:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Ryūkyū - Tokushima Vortis	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
19.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:2 ✺
12.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
05.06.22	Oita Trinita - Machida Zelvia	3:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Grulla Morioka	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.02.22	Machida Zelvia - Ryūkyū	0:0
30.10.21	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	0:0
21.04.21	Machida Zelvia - Ryūkyū	3:0
20.12.20	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	0:1
06.09.20	Machida Zelvia - Ryūkyū	4:2
29.09.19	Machida Zelvia - Ryūkyū	0:0
27.04.19	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	1:1

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