Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Ryūkyū		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.17
	3.26	3.54	2.25
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.25	3.54	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)	3.33 ↑ (2.75)	2.19 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
29.6%

Draw
28%

Tokyo Verdy
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryūkyū, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0.

Ryūkyū is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo Verdy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
23.03.22	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
05.03.22	Ryūkyū - Grulla Morioka	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Ryūkyū - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
26.03.22	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	3:3 ✺
20.03.22	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.11.21	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	1:1
17.04.21	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
28.11.20	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
08.08.20	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	0:1
12.10.19	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	1:5
13.04.19	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	1:1

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