Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)


	Montedio Yamagata		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	2.75	3.57	2.57
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.72	3.48	2.49	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 (2.7)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
34.4%

Draw
27.9%

Tokyo Verdy
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

31%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Tokyo Verdy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 15. Fujita I. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Noda H. 41. Ono M. 8. Konishi Y. 18. Minami S. (C) 25. Kokubu S. 42. Issaka Z. 11. Fujimoto Y. 10. Tiago Alves	1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 16. Yamakoshi K. 3. Taniguchi H. 2. Fukazawa D. 18. Vasquez B. 7. Morita K. (C) 25. Inami T. 20. Kitajima Y. 8. Saito K. 27. Yamada G.
Substitutes
16. Hasegawa K. (G) 17. Kato T. 3. Kumamoto Y. 7. Okazaki K. 21. Tanaka W. 6. Yamada T. 24. Yokoyama R.	15. Chida K. 41. Iida M. (G) 26. Kato R. 29. Kawamura K. 22. Koda H. 30. Sagawa K. 23. Tsunashima Y.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Jofuku H.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2.

Montedio Yamagata in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Tokyo Verdy have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
17.06.23	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Sony Sendai	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWWW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
18.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
11.06.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Iwaki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
24.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:0
26.03.22	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	3:3
03.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
07.03.21	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	0:2
24.10.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
25.07.20	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	0:0

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