Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Verdy		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	7.5
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.39	4.35	7.9
	1.36	4.13	10.65	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8.5
	1.41	4.75	7.13	Watch
	1.4	4.15	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.25)	4.37 ↓ (5.14)	8.2 ↓ (12.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
67.5%

Draw
21.2%

Tochigi
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.5%

18.1%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokyo Verdy will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 14. Fukuda Y. 17. Inami T. (C) 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 6. Miyahara K. 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 23. Tsunashima Y. 11. Yamami H. 28. Yamamoto J.	27. Tanno K. (G) 44. Ageishi R. 20. Ide S. 18. Kawana R. 37. Kimura Y. 3. Omori H. (C) 33. Rafael Costa 9. Sugawara R. 22. Takahashi H. 39. Yagi K. 47. Yoshino H.
Substitutes
16. Hirakawa R. 30. Kawamura G. 37. Kawasaki S. 31. Mawatari H. (G) 20. Meshino S. 7. Morita K. 29. Sako M. 9. Someno I. 26. Uchida Y.	77. Fujiwara K. 23. Hoshino S. 25. Iwasaki H. 38. Kobori S. 4. Sato S. 31. Shikano S. (G) 19. Shoji H. 40. Takashima S. 29. Yano K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Tsunashima Y. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Takahashi H. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Suzuki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Ide S. 🟨,
50', 3 - 1, Yamami H. ⚽,
62', Ageishi R. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
62', Yagi K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
62', Yamami H. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
62', Ide S. ↓, Hoshino S. ↑,
62', Sugawara R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
62', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
69', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
74', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Morita K. ↑,
84', Shirai R. ↓, Kawamura G. ↑,
84', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
89', Takahashi H. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tochigi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tokyo Verdy is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J League Cup
08.06.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTWW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Nara Club - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.11.23	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	1:0
17.05.23	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2
06.07.22	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
27.02.22	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	3:0
21.08.21	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	2:2
26.06.21	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	2:1
17.10.20	Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi	0:0

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