Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Junior R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	São Bernardo		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3
	2.40	2.95	2.90
	2.45	2.85	3
	2.59	3	3.19
	2.53	2.89	3.1	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3.05
	2.39	2.99	3.15
	2.35	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.23)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)	3.02 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
37.6%

Draw
31.7%

Botafogo SP
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

São Bernardo - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Junior Oliveira (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 3. Helder Maciel 35. Jemerson 6. Para 17. Romisson 8. Foguinho (C) 26. Dudu Miraima 42. Hyoran 9. Felipe Garcia 29. Pedrinho	1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 4. Vilar 13. Wallace 6. Patrick Brey (C) 8. Everton Morelli 16. Matheus Sales 30. Ze Hugo 10. Rafael Gava 23. Wesley Santos 9. Hygor
Substitutes
97. Augusto 89. Daniel Amorim 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 10. Fabricio Daniel 36. Galdino 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 98. Leo Jaba 22. Leo Lang (G) 14. Lucas Lima 11. Pedro Vitor	18. Arthur Caike 26. Felipe Vieira 15. Guilherme Mariano 34. Hebert 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 5. Leandro Maciel 28. Marco Antonio 31. Pedro Henrique 20. Yuri Felipe
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hygor ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
48', Para 🟨,
58', Wallace ↓, Hebert ↑,
62', Helder Maciel 🟨,
70', Pedrinho ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
70', Hyoran ↓, Leo Jaba ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Patrick Brey ⚽, Ze Hugo (A),
77', Victor Souza 🟨,
79', Foguinho ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
79', Romisson ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
83', Matheus Sales ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
83', Rafael Gava ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
86', Para ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
90+1', Ze Hugo ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, São Bernardo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sao Bernardo	34	12	10	12	46:37	9	46
13	Botafogo SP	34	12	8	14	38:38	0	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	3:4 ✺
23.07.26	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	São Bernardo - Avaí	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	São Bernardo - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLTT
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.26	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Fortaleza - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo SP - Juventude	4:2 ✺
17.07.26	Londrina - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1
19.02.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	2:1
27.02.22	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.11.21	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	2:0
07.11.21	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.16	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:1

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