Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Londrina		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.00	2.65
	2.55	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.88	3.20	2.79
	2.72	3.04	2.72	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.75
	2.71	2.95	2.69	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.55)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
34.7%

Draw
30.7%

Botafogo SP
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Londrina - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 4. Wallace (C) 7. Vitinho Mota 32. Joao Tavares 20. Joao Vitor 11. Pablo Dyego 18. Paulinho Moccelin	1. Victor Souza (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 3. Ericson 4. Vilar 6. Patrick Brey (C) 16. Matheus Sales 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
Substitutes
22. Artur 55. Caio Rafael 44. Caio Rodrigues 9. Gilberto 77. Juninho 33. Kevyn 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 2. Nino Paraiba 6. Rafael Monteiro 12. Zanella (G)	26. Felipe Vieira 15. Guilherme Mariano 17. Guilherme Queiroz 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 5. Leandro Maciel 28. Marco Antonio 29. Thiago Moraes 13. Wallace 23. Wesley Santos 20. Yuri Felipe
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Everton Morelli ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hygor ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
46', Kelvin ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
49', Matheus Sales 🟨,
49', Joao Vitor 🟨,
62', Vitinho Mota ↓, Gilberto ↑,
63', Heron ↓, Artur ↑,
70', Wallace 🟨,
72', Wallace ↓, Murilo Sousa ↑,
72', Ze Hugo ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
81', Joao Tavares ↓, Kevyn ↑,
81', Kaue Leonardo ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
88', Wesley Santos 🟨,
90', Rafael Gava ↓, Yuri Felipe ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Londrina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Londrina: Andre Dhominique (Injury) Lucas Marques (Inactive) Tarik (Yellow Cards) Thalis (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Arthur Caike (Inactive) Carlao (Knee Injury) Darlan (Injury) Erik Rebello (Inactive) Gabriel Inocencio (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Marco Antonio (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
13.07.26	América Mineiro - Londrina	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Londrina - CRB Maceio	5:0 ✺
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWTWW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
06.07.26	Botafogo SP - Avaí	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.11.23	Botafogo SP - Londrina	0:1
24.07.23	Londrina - Botafogo SP	1:2
16.11.19	Londrina - Botafogo SP	1:1
20.08.19	Botafogo SP - Londrina	2:1

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