Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)


	São Gonçalo		Bangu

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.5	2.9
	2.72	2.58	3.05
	2.7	2.57	3.07
	6.79	3.27	1.58	Watch
	2.68	2.59	2.86
	2.4	2.84	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.42)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)	2.75 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo
29.2%

Draw
35.5%

Bangu
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

33.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Gonçalo's form might have worsened.

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Gonçalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Gonçalo - Bangu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bangu (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Mauro ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟥,
89', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

São Gonçalo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bangu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Gonçalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.08.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	São Gonçalo - Olaria	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olaria - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
05.07.25	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWT?T
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.08.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Bangu - Araruama	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	N/A ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.07.25	Campo Grande - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWT?W

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.08.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	1:0
21.05.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	0:2

São Gonçalo - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide