The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 25.5%
Draw 28.2%
Paredes 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
27.4%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
27.2%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
São João de Ver - Paredes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
65. Didi (G) 6. Barbosa D. 10. Castro J. 7. Erick Gabriel 5. Jota 23. Monteiro J. 4. Morais B. 17. Pereira N. 11. Rai Nascimento 21. Rui Bruno 29. Valente R.
31. Matos F. (G) 99. Balelo 8. Carvalho D. 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Ferreira P. 23. Macedo Z. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 26. Santos Outeiro D. 29. Vasco Rocha (C) 84. Yuk J.
Substitutes
99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 20. Campas T. 37. Firmino H. 39. Jaramillo J. 16. Jesse 9. Marques P. 3. Serrao J. 55. Vilela M.
2. Araujo P. 9. Fonseca R. 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 6. Matheus Brito 7. Miguel 5. Moreira Nuno 10. Soares A. 21. Veiga D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Carvalho D. ⚽, Yuk J. (A),
24', Ferreira P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Castro J. ↓, Firmino H. ↑,
46', Jota ↓, Vilela M. ↑,
47', 🟨,
59', Carvalho D. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
59', Vasco Rocha ↓, Miguel ↑,
64', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
67', Macedo Z. ↓, Araujo P. ↑,
67', Yuk J. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
75', Valente R. 🟨,
76', Barbosa D. ↓, Campas T. ↑,
76', Rai Nascimento ↓, Marques P. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', Erik ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Valente R. ⚽, Campas T. (A),
90+1', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Monteiro J. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Marques P. ⚽, Campas T. (A),
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
In recent matches, São João de Ver has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paredes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Paredes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).